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Barrick Gold Corporation (GOLD) Hits Fresh High: Is There Still Room to Run?

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Have you been paying attention to shares of Barrick Gold (GOLD - Free Report) ? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 7.2% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $19.77 in the previous session. Barrick Gold has gained 9% since the start of the year compared to the -5% move for the Zacks Basic Materials sector and the 26.7% return for the Zacks Mining - Gold industry.

What's Driving the Outperformance?

The stock has an impressive record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on August 12, 2024, Barrick Gold reported EPS of $0.32 versus consensus estimate of $0.26 while it beat the consensus revenue estimate by 4.85%.

For the current fiscal year, Barrick Gold is expected to post earnings of $1.21 per share on $12.9 billion in revenues. This represents a 44.05% change in EPS on a 13.2% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $1.58 per share on $14.24 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 30.69% and 10.35%, respectively.

Valuation Metrics

Barrick Gold may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company is due for a pullback from this level.

On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as they provide investors with an additional way to sort through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. Investors should consider the style scores a valuable tool that can help you to pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.

Barrick Gold has a Value Score of A. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are B and B, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of A.

In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 16.3X current fiscal year EPS estimates, which is not in-line with the peer industry average of 16.3X. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 9.9X versus its peer group's average of 9.9X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 0.49. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.

Zacks Rank

We also need to look at the Zacks Rank for the stock, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Barrick Gold currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to favorable earnings estimate revisions from covering analysts.

Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Barrick Gold passes the test. Thus, it seems as though Barrick Gold shares could have a bit more room to run in the near term.

How Does GOLD Stack Up to the Competition?

Shares of GOLD have been soaring, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? One industry peer that looks good is Iamgold Corporation (IAG - Free Report) . IAG has a Zacks Rank of # 1 (Strong Buy) and a Value Score of B, a Growth Score of C, and a Momentum Score of B.

Earnings were strong last quarter. Iamgold Corporation beat our consensus estimate by 100%, and for the current fiscal year, IAG is expected to post earnings of $0.39 per share on revenue of $1.55 billion.

Shares of Iamgold Corporation have gained 26.7% over the past month, and currently trade at a forward P/E of 13.08X and a P/CF of 9.18X.

The Mining - Gold industry is in the top 39% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for GOLD and IAG, even beyond their own solid fundamental situation.


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